Nancy vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 0
ASN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 4
AUX
31%
27%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 1
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LHA
1 - 1
TFC
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
LHA
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LHA
2 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 0
LHA
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LHA
1 - 2
PFC
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |