Nancy vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
6 - 1
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ASN
0 - 2
AMI
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
TFC
4 - 0
ASN
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ASN
2 - 1
BAS
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ASN
1 - 1
REN
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
NIO
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
AJA
28%
29%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SOC
3 - 2
CAE
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 2
CAE
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 0
GUI
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |