Nancy vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
GAZ
1 - 0
ASN
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
ASN
1 - 1
STL
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
ASN
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
ASN
6 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 2
ASN
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AUX
1 - 0
SOC
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
ARL
2 - 4
AUX
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 0
AUX
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
AUX
0 - 1
ANG
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
AUX
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |