Nancy vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 3
ASN
36%
27%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 3
REN
31%
27%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 1
ASN
50%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ASN
0 - 1
PSG
20%
25%
56%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
SOC
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 1
SOC
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 4
AJA
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
MAR
18%
25%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
4 - 4
AJA
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 0
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |