Nancy II vs USL Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COM
1 - 0
NAN
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
NAN
0 - 0
BRC
16%
25%
60%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 1
COL
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LEN
0 - 0
NAN
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NAN
0 - 3
MON
24%
30%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
USL Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 0
STR
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 3
COM
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
MET
2 - 2
DUN
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
BRC
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
VES
1 - 1
DUN
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |