Nanclares vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanclares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ZUI
0 - 0
NAN
50%
23%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NAN
2 - 2
ZAR
16%
22%
62%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAN
2 - 2
TOR
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 1
NAN
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
NAN
0 - 4
LAU
9%
20%
71%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARI
0 - 1
ELP
62%
20%
19%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CDV
3 - 1
ARI
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 0
CDS
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ZUI
0 - 1
ARI
26%
23%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 1
ZAR
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |