AFCON Qualifying Group J Round 3

Namibia vs Zimbabwe analysis

Namibia Zimbabwe
65 ELO 64
-17.9% Tilt -16.7%
2276º General ELO ranking 2649º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.6%
Namibia
26.3%
Draw
29.1%
Zimbabwe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
Namibia
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.1%
Win probability
Zimbabwe
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Namibia
-16%
-8%
Zimbabwe

ELO progression

Namibia
Zimbabwe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Namibia
Namibia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2024
NAM
Namibia
1 - 2
Kenya
KEN
39%
27%
34%
66 66 0 0
07 Sep. 2024
CMR
Cameroon
1 - 0
Namibia
NAM
65%
23%
13%
66 81 15 0
07 Jul. 2024
ANG
Angola
5 - 0
Namibia
NAM
52%
26%
23%
68 75 7 -2
05 Jul. 2024
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 0
Namibia
NAM
32%
28%
41%
68 63 5 0
03 Jul. 2024
NAM
Namibia
3 - 1
Seychelles
SYC
79%
15%
6%
68 31 37 0

Matches

Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2024
ZIM
Zimbabwe
0 - 0
Cameroon
CMR
16%
25%
59%
63 81 18 0
06 Sep. 2024
KEN
Kenya
0 - 0
Zimbabwe
ZIM
44%
27%
29%
63 67 4 0
02 Jul. 2024
KEN
Kenya
2 - 0
Zimbabwe
ZIM
41%
28%
31%
64 66 2 -1
30 Jun. 2024
ZAM
Zambia
0 - 2
Zimbabwe
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
62 72 10 +2
27 Jun. 2024
COM
Comoros
0 - 1
Zimbabwe
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
61 56 5 +1