AFCON Qualifying Round 1

Namibia vs Algeria analysis

Namibia Algeria
59 ELO 81
7.5% Tilt 7.8%
2385º General ELO ranking 178º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.6%
Namibia
26.7%
Draw
52.7%
Algeria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
Namibia
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
52.7%
Win probability
Algeria
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Namibia
-8%
+1%
Algeria

ELO progression

Namibia
Algeria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Namibia
Namibia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2002
SWZ
Swaziland
2 - 1
Namibia
NAM
33%
26%
42%
60 57 3 0
16 Mar. 2002
BOT
Botswana
3 - 1
Namibia
NAM
37%
25%
38%
61 58 3 -1
15 Dec. 2001
BOT
Botswana
3 - 2
Namibia
NAM
28%
25%
48%
62 54 8 -1
08 Apr. 2001
MUS
Mauritius
1 - 0
Namibia
NAM
31%
24%
46%
62 50 12 0
10 Mar. 2001
SEN
Senegal
4 - 0
Namibia
NAM
66%
21%
14%
63 75 12 -1

Matches

Algeria
Algeria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2002
ALG
Algeria
1 - 1
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
COD
58%
24%
18%
81 75 6 0
14 May. 2002
BEL
Belgium
0 - 0
Algeria
ALG
78%
16%
6%
81 93 12 0
28 Jan. 2002
MLI
Mali
2 - 0
Algeria
ALG
24%
28%
48%
82 71 11 -1
25 Jan. 2002
LBR
Liberia
2 - 2
Algeria
ALG
8%
23%
69%
82 58 24 0
21 Jan. 2002
ALG
Algeria
0 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
33%
28%
40%
82 86 4 0