AFCON Qualifying Group K Round 5

Namibia vs Niger analysis

Namibia Niger
62 ELO 58
-12.2% Tilt -11.2%
2392º General ELO ranking 3122º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.1%
Namibia
26.1%
Draw
26.7%
Niger

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
Namibia
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.7%
Win probability
Niger
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Namibia
-10%
+15%
Niger

ELO progression

Namibia
Niger
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Namibia
Namibia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2016
NAM
Namibia
1 - 3
Burundi
BDI
50%
26%
25%
63 57 6 0
26 Mar. 2016
BDI
Burundi
1 - 3
Namibia
NAM
33%
27%
39%
62 58 4 +1
15 Nov. 2015
GUI
Guinea
2 - 0
Namibia
NAM
67%
21%
13%
63 75 12 -1
12 Nov. 2015
NAM
Namibia
0 - 1
Guinea
GUI
20%
24%
57%
63 75 12 0
07 Nov. 2015
NAM
Namibia
0 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
63 75 12 0

Matches

Niger
Niger
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2016
NIG
Niger
1 - 2
Senegal
SEN
14%
23%
64%
58 82 24 0
26 Mar. 2016
SEN
Senegal
2 - 0
Niger
NIG
75%
17%
7%
59 82 23 -1
26 Jan. 2016
NIG
Niger
0 - 5
Tunisia
TUN
14%
23%
63%
59 82 23 0
22 Jan. 2016
NIG
Niger
2 - 2
Guinea
GUI
16%
22%
63%
59 76 17 0
18 Jan. 2016
NGA
Nigeria
4 - 1
Niger
NIG
77%
16%
7%
59 86 27 0