AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 1-3
Namibia vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 1
TAN
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NAM
0 - 1
GHA
15%
24%
62%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 0
MOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 0
NAM
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 1
MOZ
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 2
LBY
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
CGO
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NIG
2 - 2
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CGO
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |