Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
NAG
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
NAG
3 - 0
SAG
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
YFM
1 - 2
NAG
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NAG
4 - 2
KAA
10%
19%
71%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
NAG
3 - 2
GAM
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
URA
1 - 0
TOK
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SHI
3 - 3
URA
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
URA
4 - 0
JUB
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SAG
1 - 0
URA
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
URA
0 - 0
VVA
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |