League Cup Japan Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
NAG
4 - 2
TOK
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
TOK
0 - 3
NAG
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
NAG
8 - 1
URA
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
KAA
1 - 2
NAG
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
NAG
1 - 2
JUB
25%
24%
50%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
SHI
2 - 0
KYO
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
KYO
1 - 0
SHI
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 0
SHI
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
SHI
1 - 0
VIS
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
JEF
2 - 3
SHI
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |