Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KAW
3 - 1
NAG
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NAG
3 - 4
VVA
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
JUB
1 - 6
NAG
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NAG
4 - 1
URA
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
NAG
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FCT
0 - 2
SHI
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FCT
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VEG
1 - 0
FCT
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FCT
0 - 0
SAG
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -4 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SHO
0 - 0
FCT
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |