Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SHI
2 - 1
NAG
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NAG
0 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 1
NAG
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
NAG
2 - 1
OIT
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
CER
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCT
3 - 2
URA
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 0
YOK
86%
12%
3%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
FCT
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FCT
2 - 3
SAG
59%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
JUB
0 - 0
FCT
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |