Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
KAA
3 - 1
NAG
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 2
FCY
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
NAG
0 - 2
VEG
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
KAW
2 - 1
NAG
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 3
OIT
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
FCT
2 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 3
ALB
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
VEN
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
SHI
1 - 2
ALB
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |