Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
VEN
0 - 2
NAG
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NAG
2 - 0
JEF
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
KAA
2 - 1
NAG
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
KYO
0 - 1
NAG
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
NAG
2 - 0
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 2
URA
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
OIT
1 - 1
ALB
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CON
3 - 2
ALB
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ALB
1 - 2
OMI
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALB
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |