Nacional vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 3
SPB
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
BEL
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
FCP
3 - 1
NAC
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
VST
1 - 1
SCP
11%
19%
71%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AVE
2 - 1
VST
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
VST
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
VST
0 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 0
VST
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |