Nacional vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOA
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 3
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
FUL
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 2
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
TON
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
DEP
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
VER
0 - 2
CHA
8%
20%
72%
|
66 | 16 | 50 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |