Nacional vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TON
1 - 0
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNM
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SPB
2 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
WYD
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
12%
20%
68%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 4
VST
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ACA
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
RIO
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 2
WYD
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |