Nacional CNF vs CSyD Villa Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
80.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional CNF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CAJ
0 - 1
NNH
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSyD Villa Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 0
CSY
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CSY
1 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 2
CSY
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CSY
2 - 0
PLA
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 0
CSY
26%
24%
49%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |