WC Qual. Asia 1st Round Final
Global 2-1
Myanmar vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Myanmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
MNG
1 - 0
MMR
31%
23%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
MAS
2 - 0
MMR
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
MMR
1 - 3
PLE
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
BGD
2 - 0
MMR
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
MMR
1 - 1
PHL
50%
22%
27%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
MNG
1 - 0
MMR
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
MNG
2 - 1
PHL
26%
22%
53%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
PHL
2 - 0
MNG
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
MNG
3 - 1
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
MNG
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |