Muzinga vs Union Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muzinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ROY
2 - 2
MUZ
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
MUZ
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
KFC
1 - 1
MUZ
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
MUZ
1 - 1
ATH
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
INT
1 - 2
MUZ
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Union Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USP
0 - 4
ATH
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
INT
3 - 1
USP
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
KFC
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ROY
3 - 1
USP
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ESM
0 - 0
USP
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |