Muttenz vs Unterstrass analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.2%
9.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
9º
1º
39
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCW
0 - 4
MUT
31%
21%
48%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
MUT
5 - 1
SCH
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 2
MUT
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MUT
3 - 2
LIE
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BIN
0 - 4
MUT
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 1
BUB
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ZOF
1 - 1
FCU
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 0
RSZ
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MUT
0 - 1
FCU
15%
18%
68%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 2
REG
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |