Musongati vs Rukinzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musongati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MFC
2 - 2
BUM
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ATH
1 - 0
MFC
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ANM
4 - 3
MFC
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MFC
1 - 1
KAY
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LEL
1 - 1
MFC
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rukinzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DYN
0 - 1
RUK
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
RUK
4 - 2
BUJ
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
STA
3 - 1
RUK
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RUK
0 - 1
BUM
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
RUK
1 - 1
NGO
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |