Mushuc Runa vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
28.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
EME
5 - 2
MUS
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 1
CUE
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 0
QUI
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
BSC
3 - 0
MUS
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 3
CUE
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 0
QUI
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
EME
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 0
QUI
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 2
LOJ
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |