Mushuc Runa vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
TEC
1 - 1
MUS
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 0
MUS
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EME
6 - 1
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAC
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
EME
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OLM
1 - 2
MAC
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
UCE
45%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 0
MAC
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |