Mushuc Runa vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
RIV
4 - 2
MUS
27%
27%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MUS
2 - 0
DEL
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 3
MUS
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 2
AUC
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
MUS
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 3
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 1
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
TEC
2 - 0
MAC
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |