Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CUE
3 - 2
MUS
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 0
QUI
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 0
OLM
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BSC
3 - 0
MUS
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 1
NAC
40%
30%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 1
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
IVT
0 - 0
BSC
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
IVT
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 4
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 1
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |