Muro vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+239%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
4 - 1
RAC
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 3
MUR
26%
26%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 1
BEN
64%
21%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAS
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
REC
0 - 1
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
REC
1 - 0
PEG
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
PEG
1 - 0
ALB
17%
23%
60%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 1
PEG
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
PEG
1 - 0
TAV
31%
25%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CUL
3 - 1
PEG
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |