Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
OBE
1 - 1
MUR
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 3
AZK
17%
26%
57%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PRA
5 - 0
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 1
HUA
41%
27%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ALU
2 - 1
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
UDM
4 - 1
LOU
66%
21%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AOI
0 - 2
UDM
36%
29%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
UDM
3 - 0
ALB
71%
21%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CDU
1 - 3
UDM
40%
27%
34%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UDM
2 - 0
BUR
39%
29%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |