Murchante vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 2
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 4
PEÑ
15%
23%
63%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
HUA
3 - 1
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDA
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
OBE
1 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
AOI
1 - 0
HUA
35%
27%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
CDA
3 - 1
AOI
32%
26%
43%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AOI
1 - 1
OBE
50%
25%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
IZA
0 - 0
AOI
73%
18%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AOI
3 - 1
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |