Muravera vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BUD
0 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALB
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MUR
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIT
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AST
2 - 0
MUR
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
OST
1 - 0
CYN
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
OLB
2 - 0
OST
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
OST
3 - 0
LAN
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 1
OST
54%
24%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OST
2 - 1
TRA
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |