Murata vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
MUR
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TFI
2 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 2
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
VIR
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAI
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |