Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 4
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 0
MUR
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
4 - 0
VIR
18%
19%
62%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 2
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
TFI
0 - 2
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TFI
2 - 1
TPE
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 3
TFI
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 4
TFI
26%
22%
52%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TFI
2 - 0
FOL
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |