Murata vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MUR
0 - 0
TPE
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
SGI
1 - 2
MUR
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
MUR
2 - 1
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 2
MUR
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
TFI
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 2
TPE
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 4
FAE
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
DOM
6 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 3
LIB
26%
24%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |