Murata vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 0
MUR
54%
20%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FAE
6 - 1
MUR
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
TFI
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
18%
20%
62%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 3
FOL
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 3
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAI
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |