Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 3
TFI
28%
27%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 3
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 1
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COS
0 - 3
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
FAE
2 - 1
COS
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 3
COS
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 0
COS
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |