NS Mura vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 0
NSM
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
KAL
0 - 4
NSM
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NSM
3 - 0
TAS
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 2
NSM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
NSM
1 - 0
ZTE
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
AGF
4 - 2
VEJ
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 4
AGF
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
AGF
2 - 0
FCN
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
AGF
5 - 2
HON
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
STP
0 - 0
AGF
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |