Munsingen vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
YOU
2 - 0
MUN
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WAN
1 - 1
MUN
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 3
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
FCM
2 - 2
MUN
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 2
SIO
10%
20%
70%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 0
WAN
36%
23%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
THU
0 - 0
FCS
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 0
FCM
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LUZ
5 - 1
FCS
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 0
BER
74%
16%
11%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |