Munsingen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
81.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.8%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 0
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
BLA
2 - 2
MUN
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 4
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ZOF
0 - 1
MUN
37%
25%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 0
FCG
50%
24%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUD
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 4
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |