Munsbach vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Munsbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 2
SPO
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
7 - 3
ORA
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
YBW
3 - 2
MUN
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 2
BET
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 1
MUN
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FFN
1 - 5
USH
30%
24%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
USH
7 - 0
AVE
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
USS
1 - 0
USH
25%
23%
51%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
USH
4 - 1
ATE
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
USH
5 - 1
AVE
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +2 |