Municipal Limeño vs Atlético Balboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ALI
3 - 2
MUN
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
FAS
1 - 0
MUN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MUN
2 - 3
AGU
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 1
MUN
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
SAL
5 - 1
MUN
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Balboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
BAL
1 - 0
SAL
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BAL
1 - 1
MET
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
FIR
2 - 0
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
BAL
1 - 0
CDA
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
BAL
2 - 1
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |