Municipal Liberia vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
COF
0 - 3
MUN
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 0
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
STR
1 - 1
MUN
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 1
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 0
PFC
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
ADC
3 - 2
PFC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ASE
1 - 0
ADC
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
ADC
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ADC
0 - 2
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ADC
3 - 2
COF
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |