Muleño CF vs CAP Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
16º
15º
35
7º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CIE
3 - 2
MUL
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
LAU
1 - 0
MUL
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MUL
0 - 5
AGU
14%
24%
63%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
5 - 1
MUL
71%
16%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MUL
0 - 2
MSM
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 1
LAU
20%
24%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
CAP
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 2
LOR
31%
26%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MSM
0 - 1
CAP
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 1
PUL
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |