Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
La Muela vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Muela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
LMU
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GIN
3 - 4
LMU
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LMU
2 - 1
VIL
76%
15%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ACF
1 - 2
LMU
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
LMU
3 - 0
AND
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
LMU
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
COR
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VTZ
2 - 2
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LLA
0 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 3
CDM
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |