NB III Southwest Round 18

MTK Budapest II vs BFC Siófok analysis

MTK Budapest II BFC Siófok
33 ELO 49
3.8% Tilt 0.4%
8616º General ELO ranking 4748º
83º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
19.2%
MTK Budapest II
22.7%
Draw
58.1%
BFC Siófok

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
MTK Budapest II
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.1%
Win probability
BFC Siófok
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MTK Budapest II
-19%
+1%
BFC Siófok

Points and table prediction

MTK Budapest II
Their league position
BFC Siófok
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
14º
10º
55
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nagykanizsa FC
74
74
100%
Iváncsa
67
70
100%
Ferencváros II
62
65
100%
Kaposvari Rakoczi
62
62
100%
Pécsi MFC
60
60
100%
BFC Siófok
55
55
100%
Paksi SE II
41
41
100%
Majosi SE
40
40
100%
Dunaharaszti MTK
38
38
93.5%
MTK Budapest II
10º
37
37
10º
93.5%
Bonyhád Völgység
11º
35
35
11º
100%
Szekszárdi UFC
12º
22
23
12º
90.5%
Gárdonyi VSC
15º
18
21
13º
77.5%
PTE-PEAC
13º
21
21
14º
22.5%
Főnix Gold FC
14º
21
21
15º
0%
FC Dunafoldvar
16º
7
8
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
MTK Budapest II
BFC Siófok
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

MTK Budapest II
BFC Siófok
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MTK Budapest II
MTK Budapest II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2025
MTK
MTK Budapest II
1 - 5
Debreceni EAC
DEA
26%
25%
50%
34 46 12 0
24 Nov. 2024
DUN
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 - 0
MTK Budapest II
MTK
36%
24%
40%
35 33 2 -1
17 Nov. 2024
MTK
MTK Budapest II
1 - 3
Paksi SE II
PAK
57%
21%
23%
36 33 3 -1
10 Nov. 2024
MTK
MTK Budapest II
1 - 1
Ferencváros II
FER
15%
20%
64%
35 50 15 +1
03 Nov. 2024
1 - 1
MTK Budapest II
MTK
14%
17%
69%
36 15 21 -1

Matches

BFC Siófok
BFC Siófok
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
NAG
Nagykanizsa FC
1 - 2
BFC Siófok
BFC
44%
23%
33%
48 50 2 0
24 Nov. 2024
BFC
BFC Siófok
1 - 2
Iváncsa
IVA
24%
24%
53%
49 56 7 -1
17 Nov. 2024
NAG
Nagykanizsa FC
1 - 1
BFC Siófok
BFC
49%
23%
28%
49 50 1 0
10 Nov. 2024
KAP
Kaposvari Rakoczi
1 - 0
BFC Siófok
BFC
51%
23%
26%
49 51 2 0
03 Nov. 2024
BFC
BFC Siófok
5 - 0
PTE-PEAC
PTE
70%
18%
12%
49 25 24 0