Mtibwa Sugar vs Ndanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
27.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MBE
1 - 0
MTI
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
TAN
0 - 0
MTI
51%
29%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
JKT
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 3
SIM
16%
25%
59%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
LFC
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ndanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NDA
2 - 1
KMC
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
NDA
1 - 1
AZA
21%
30%
49%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SUT
0 - 1
NDA
42%
29%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MWA
0 - 2
NDA
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NDA
0 - 0
NAM
14%
26%
61%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |