Mt. Wellington vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt. Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 1
MTW
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
MTW
1 - 3
NSH
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
CEN
0 - 3
MTW
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
WAI
3 - 4
MTW
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
MTW
1 - 1
CHR
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
MIR
3 - 0
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
TCU
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
DUN
3 - 1
TCU
52%
23%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
NAP
3 - 0
DUN
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 5
CEN
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |