MSV Duisburg vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 2
MSV
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
RWA
2 - 3
MSV
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
MSV
1 - 1
ROT
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
OSN
2 - 2
MSV
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 1
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
HOF
4 - 0
KSC
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
KSC
1 - 0
SGF
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ERZ
2 - 0
KSC
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
KSC
3 - 1
COT
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2003 |
M05
1 - 1
KSC
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |