MSV Duisburg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
COT
3 - 1
MSV
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 2
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SGF
2 - 1
MSV
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 0
F95
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
KSC
3 - 1
MSV
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
OSN
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
RTV
0 - 2
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
PAD
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
ING
1 - 1
HER
22%
25%
54%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
SGF
0 - 2
HER
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |